GLOBAL MPOX OUTBREAK

Monkeypox

In May 2022, multiple outbreaks of human monkeypox virus (MPXV) infection were reported in non-endemic areas across Europe and the United States. The rapid spread of the virus in regions with no previous history of community transmission raised concerns among health authorities, prompting the implementation of public health measures to contain the outbreaks. Subsequently, new outbreaks occurred in endemic countries in Central and West Africa, contributing to a growing global health emergency.

Early evidence indicated that mpox was displaying different epidemiological and clinical patterns from those observed in previous outbreaks. Given the need to better understand the infection and support evidence-based public health decision-making, we are working to address key knowledge gaps, including transmission dynamics, clinical presentation, diagnostic tools, vaccine response, and immunology.

MPXV COMMUNITY TRANSMISSION

MOTION Study

MPXV COMMUNITY TRANSMISSION

MOTION Study

May 2022 to June 2022

Detailed information on the epidemiology and clinical features of mpox during the 2022 outbreak was initially limited. In this study, we aimed to comprehensively characterize the epidemiological, clinical, and virological features of patients diagnosed with mpox at three large hospitals in Spain.

Participants provided lesion, anal, and oropharyngeal swabs for PCR testing, and clinical and epidemiological data were collected through interviews conducted by dermatologists and sexually transmitted infection specialists using a standardized case report form. Outcomes included demographic characteristics, smallpox vaccination and HIV status, exposure history, travel and mass-gathering attendance, sexual behaviour and risk factors for sexually transmitted infections, signs and symptoms at presentation, virological findings across multiple anatomical sites, co-infections with other sexually transmitted pathogens, and clinical outcomes 14 days after initial presentation.

Results

181 patients with Monkeypox were assessed at the three participating centres during the study period. In our cohort, monkeypox caused genital, perianal, and oral lesions and complications. Because of the variability of presentations, clinicians should have a low threshold for suspicion of monkeypox. Lesion swabs showed the highest viral loads, which, combined with the history of sexual exposure and the distribution of lesions, suggested close contact was probably the dominant transmission route in the current outbreak.

MPXV COMMUNITY TRANSMISSION

MOVIE Study

MPXV COMMUNITY TRANSMISSION

MOVIE Study

June 2022 to September 2022

MOVIE was a prospective observational study aimed at describing the time to viral clearance in patients with Monkeypox. We conducted a prospective diagnostic accuracy evaluation in individuals with suspected Monkeypox in three centres in Spain.

Results

This was the first study to demonstrate the feasibility and accuracy of self-collected samples for the diagnosis of Monkeypox. Overall, self-collected swabs had high accuracy and similar viral loads to physician-collected swabs. Self-sampling for the diagnosis of sexually transmitted infections utilising self-taken pharyngeal, genital, and rectal swabs is a well-established strategy for diagnosing chlamydia and gonorrhoea based on nucleic acid amplification testing. Our data extended these findings to confirm the applicability of this strategy in Monkeypox. Importantly, we showed patient-collected samples from skin lesions to have similarly high-performance characteristics. Unlike the other types of samples, patient-collected skin swabs are not routinely used to diagnose common blistering skin diseases such as herpes or varicella, but our data demonstrate the applicability of this approach.

MPXV COMMUNITY TRANSMISSION

REMAIN Study

MPXV COMMUNITY TRANSMISSION

REMAIN Study

September 2022 to September 2024

The REMAIN study aimed to determine the level of protection conferred by the MVA-BN vaccine against mpox infection, as well as to improve our understanding of the factors facilitating disease transmission. This was particularly relevant in the context of the rapid global spread of mpox.

The study involved 4,600 participants from Spain, Panama, Peru, and Chile, predominantly men with risk factors for mpox. In this observational study, the vaccine—currently the most widely used for mpox control—was administered through local healthcare systems, while the research team collected data through surveys and conducted clinical follow-up. The findings, published in the scientific journal Vaccines, confirm the preventive value of the MVA-BN vaccine.

Results

Approximately 1,000 participants were matched into 500 pairs of vaccinated and unvaccinated individuals to assess vaccine effectiveness. Only eight mpox cases were recorded, with fewer infections among vaccinated (0.6%) than unvaccinated participants (1%); however, the low number of cases prevented firm conclusions about vaccine effectiveness. Overall, the findings supported the preventive value of MVA-BN and added to the growing evidence supporting its effectiveness.Safety was assessed in 1,500 vaccinated participants. Adverse events were mild and mainly involved injection-site reactions. However, 25% of participants developed a visible mark at the injection site that persisted for more than six months, suggesting that the site of vaccine administration may warrant reconsideration.

MPXV ENDEMIC COUNTRIES

MOVIE-TRACE Study

Understanding the viral dynamics of MPOX and its implications for onward transmission are critical to an effective public health response. For Clade IIb, MPXV studies conducted during the 2022 global pandemic demonstrated a rapid decline of viral load in blood compared to more prolonged viral shedding from skin lesions. Only skin-lesions had prolonged shedding above the threshold at which virus could be isolated in cultures. Equivalent data for Clade I MPXV are lacking. We are therefore conducting two linked epidemiological studies in Eastern and Western Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC). 

1. MOVIE Study: Understanding MPXV Viral Clearance in Mpox Patients  

Efforts to control Mpox outbreaks rely heavily on identifying and isolating cases. However, there is a critical gap in our understanding of the dynamics of viral clearance among clade-I MPXV infected individuals of all ages, particularly children and pregnant women. This knowledge gap hampers our ability to determine the optimal duration of isolation protocols and guide clinical management practices effectively. 

The MOVIE study aims to address this gap by describing the time to viral clearance in patients with PCR-confirmed Mpox infection in the DRC. By systematically collecting and analysing data on viral presence across different body compartments over a long period of time, the study seeks to provide essential insights into the kinetics of MPXV elimination and inform evidence-based strategies for isolation and clinical management. 

 

2. TRACE Study: Evaluating Transmission Dynamics of MPXV in Mpox Cases and Contacts 

In addition to understanding MPXV clearance kinetics, there is a pressing need to evaluate transmission dynamics of clade-I MPXV within Mpox-affected communities. Secondary transmission plays a significant role in sustaining outbreaks, yet the factors influencing transmission rates and the risk of infection among contacts of all ages remain poorly understood. This lack of knowledge hampers efforts to make decisions on contact tracing, healthcare personnel deployment, medical supply distribution, contact quarantine policies, and the assessment of effectiveness of vaccine trials or campaigns. 

The TRACE study aims to fill this knowledge gap by evaluating transmission dynamics of MPXV, including Secondary Attack Rate (SAR), in Mpox cases and their contacts. By systematically collecting data on contact exposure and subsequent transmission events, the study seeks to quantify the magnitude of transmission rate, identify risk factors associated with further transmission. 

Selected Publications

Mitjà, Oriol; Watson-Jones, Deborah; Choi, Edward M; Jalloh, Mohamed Boi; Sahr, Foday

Clade IIb mpox outbreak in Sierra Leone Journal Article

In: The Lancet, vol. 405, iss. 10497, pp. 2274-2275, 2025.

Abstract | Links | BibTeX

Suñer, Clara; Escrig-Sarreta, Roser; Galván-Casas, Cristina; Mateos, Eduardo; Gabster, Amanda; Mitjà, Oriol (…)

Target Trial Emulation of the Modified Vaccinia Ankara-Bavarian Nordic Vaccine for Pre-Exposure Mpox Prevention in At-Risk Populations Journal Article

In: Vaccines, vol. 13, iss. 6, 2025.

Abstract | Links | BibTeX

Malembi, Emile; Escrig-Sarreta, Roser; Ntumba, Jackie; Shongo, Robert; Bengehya, Justin; Mitjà, Oriol (…)

Clinical presentation and epidemiological assessment of confirmed human mpox cases in DR Congo: a surveillance-based observational study Journal Article

In: The Lancet, vol. 405, iss. 10490, pp. 1666-1675, 2025.

Abstract | Links | BibTeX

Gonzalez-Beiras, Camila; Malembi, Emile; Escrig-Sarreta, Roser; Ahuka, Steve; Mbala, Placide; Mavoko, Hypolite (…); Mitjà, Oriol

Concurrent outbreaks of mpox in Africa—an update Journal Article

In: The Lancet, vol. 405, iss. 10472, 2025.

Abstract | Links | BibTeX

Cardoso, Igor Moraes; Benet, Susana; Carabelli, Julieta; Perez-Zsolt, Daniel; Mendoza, Adrià; Rivero, Angel (…); Mothe, Beatriz

Immune responses associated with mpox viral clearance in men with and without HIV in Spain: a multisite, observational, prospective cohort study Journal Article

In: The Lancet Microbe, vol. 5, iss. 18, 2024.

Abstract | Links | BibTeX

Hazra, Aniruddha; Zucker, Jason; Bell, Elizabeth; Flores, John; Gordon, Leanna; Mitjà, Oriol (…); Orkin, Chloe

Mpox in people with past infection or a complete vaccination course: a global case series Journal Article

In: The Lancet Infectious Diseases, vol. 24, iss. 1, 2024.

Abstract | Links | BibTeX

Sonmez, Ibrahim; Riveros, Héctor Martínez; Folch, Cinta; Suñer, Clara; Diaz, Yesika; Alonso, Lucía; Casabona, Jordi (…)

Egocentric sexual network analysis among gay and bisexual men who have sex with men with and without mpox infection Journal Article

In: Sexually Transmitted Infections, vol. 99, iss. 8, 2023.

Abstract | Links | BibTeX

Ubals, Maria; Tarín-Vicente, Eloy José; Oller, Xènia; Mendoza, Adrià; Alemany, Andrea; Hernández-Rodríguez, Águeda (…); Mitjà, Oriol.

Evaluating the accuracy of self-collected swabs for the diagnoss of monkeypox Journal Article

In: Clinical Infectious Diseases, vol. 7, no. 76, pp. 1311-1314, 2023, ISBN: 1537-6591.

Abstract | Links | BibTeX

Mitjà, Oriol; Alemany, Andrea; Marks, Michael; Mora, Jezer Lezama; Rodríguez-Aldama, Juan Carlos; Torres, Mayara (…); Villareal, Diana.

Mpox in people with advanced HIV infection: a global case series Journal Article

In: The Lancet, 2023, ISSN: 0140-6736.

Abstract | Links | BibTeX

Suñer, Clara; Ubals, Maria; Tarín-Vicente, Eloy José; Mendoza, Adrià; Alemany, Andrea; Hernández-Rodríguez, Agueda (…); Mitjà, Oriol.

Viral dynamics in patients with monkeypox infection: a prospective cohort study in Spain Journal Article

In: The Lancet Infectious Diseases, 2023, ISSN: 1473-3099.

Abstract | Links | BibTeX

Thornhill, John P; Palich, Romain; Ghosn, Jade; Walmsley, Sharon; Moschese, Davide; Cortes, Claudia P (…); Orkin, Chloe

Human monkeypox virus infection in women and non-binary individuals during the 2022 outbreaks: a global case series Journal Article

In: The Lancet, vol. 400, iss. 10367, pp. 1953-1965, 2022.

Abstract | Links | BibTeX

Tarín-Vicente, Eloy José; Alemany, Andrea; Agud-Dios, Manuel; Ubals, Maria; Suñer, Clara; Antón, Andrés (…); Mitjà, Oriol.

Clinical presentation and virological assessment of confirmed human monkeypox virus cases in Spain: a prospective observational cohort study Journal Article

In: The Lancet, vol. 400, no. 10353, pp. 661-669, 2022, ISSN: 0140-6736.

Abstract | Links | BibTeX

Mitjà, Oriol; Ogoina, Dimie; Titanji, Boghuma K.; Galvan, Cristina; Muyembe, Jean-Jacques; Marks, Michael; Orkin, Chloe M.

Monkeypox Journal Article

In: The Lancet, 2022, ISSN: 0140-6736.

Abstract | Links | BibTeX